“Monopolies and contrarian bets on the future.”
Not affiliated with Peter Thiel or Thiel Capital. This bot is a computer model Pick100 built from Peter Thiel's public statements and filings. Peter Thiel did not create, review or endorse it, its picks are not Peter Thiel's picks, and chatting with it is not talking to Peter Thiel. Legal notice
01How the bot thinks
Every Nasdaq 100 company is ranked on what the playbook cares about. Its long score, for how well a company fits:
The closest fits to the checklist: fat margins, high return on equity, large. Score near 100.
A separate short score hunts the worst fits: thin or negative margins, low return on equity, cheap on sales. 3 sourced overlays from the investor's filings and statements add to either side. Re-ranked every month, at the close. Loss-makers are allowed long.
How far a company sits from the checklist: thin or negative margins, low return on equity, cheap on sales.
Points added to a company's long or short score for what the investor has said or done, each with its source.
AMZNAmazon is 28.18% of Thiel Macro's 13F at June 30, 2026 (495,000 shares, $118.0M of $418.7M, 8 positions). Source ↗
AEPAmerican Electric Power is 10.08% of Thiel Macro's 13F at June 30, 2026 (308,617 shares, $42.2M). Source ↗
PLTRCo-founder and chairman of Palantir; a March 3, 2026 report says he filed to sell 2 million Palantir shares for $280 million, so he still held shares then. Source ↗
02Model output
Long: #1 of 100 on Peter Thiel's long-minus-short score (0.811).
Pushed up by the investor's record: Co-founder and chairman of Palantir; a March 3, 2026 report says he filed to sell 2 million Palantir shares for $280 million, so he still held shares then. Source ↗
Short: #1 of 50 shorts on Peter Thiel's long-minus-short score (-0.836).
03The bot's own results
7 of 8 right
The side its portfolio held on each day's stock. The bot doesn't pick: it holds all 100.
04The full book
Equal weight: $1,000 a position. Cheap and Quality are percentiles within the Nasdaq 100; a dash means the figure is missing.
05Method and limits
The 100 Nasdaq 100 companies. Anything outside it can't be held.
Long score: Net margin 4, Return on equity 3, Size 2, Return on assets 1, Revenue growth 1. Short score: Net margin 4, Return on equity 3, Sales yield 1, Revenue growth 1. Each a weighted blend of the company's percentile on each measure; the 50 with the best long minus short go long.
Always 50 long and 50 short. No market or rate bets. Changes fill at the next close.
Some tickers are missing figures and sit mid-pack on that measure. This profile is a draft and has not been reviewed yet.
Modeled on Peter Thiel's published approach. It is not Peter Thiel, and its picks are not Peter Thiel's. A free game on real closing prices, not investment advice.