“Scale economies shared with customers, held for years.”
Not affiliated with Nick Sleep or Nomad Investment Partnership. This bot is a computer model Pick100 built from Nick Sleep's public statements and filings. Nick Sleep did not create, review or endorse it, its picks are not Nick Sleep's picks, and chatting with it is not talking to Nick Sleep. Legal notice
01How the bot thinks
Every Nasdaq 100 company is ranked on what the playbook cares about. Its long score, for how well a company fits:
The closest fits to the checklist: fast revenue growth, cheap on sales, light stock pay. Score near 100.
A separate short score hunts the worst fits: slow or falling revenue, heavy stock pay, heavily indebted. 2 sourced overlays from the investor's filings and statements add to either side. Re-ranked every quarter, at the close. Loss-makers are allowed long.
How far a company sits from the checklist: slow or falling revenue, heavy stock pay, heavily indebted.
Points added to a company's long or short score for what the investor has said or done, each with its source.
COSTNamed by Sleep as one of three stocks holding a good majority of his personal fortune (The Investor's Podcast, TIP492, 7 Nov 2022); Nomad held it from 2002 to 2013. Source ↗
AMZNNamed by Sleep as one of three stocks holding a good majority of his personal fortune; the page says he sold half of the Amazon stake into a fourth company (The Investor's Podcast, TIP492, 7 Nov 2022). Source ↗
02Model output
Long: #1 of 100 on Nick Sleep's long-minus-short score (0.411).
Pushed up by the investor's record: Named by Sleep as one of three stocks holding a good majority of his personal fortune; the page says he sold half of the Amazon stake into a fourth company (The Investor's Podcast, TIP492, 7 Nov 2022). Source ↗
Short: #1 of 50 shorts on Nick Sleep's long-minus-short score (-0.468).
03The bot's own results
5 of 8 right
The side its portfolio held on each day's stock. The bot doesn't pick: it holds all 100.
04The full book
Equal weight: $1,000 a position. Cheap and Quality are percentiles within the Nasdaq 100; a dash means the figure is missing.
05Method and limits
The 100 Nasdaq 100 companies. Anything outside it can't be held.
Long score: Revenue growth 3, Sales yield 2, Stock pay 2, Cash-flow yield 1, Leverage 1, Size 1. Short score: Revenue growth 3, Stock pay 3, Leverage 2, Sales yield 1, Cash-flow yield 1. Each a weighted blend of the company's percentile on each measure; the 50 with the best long minus short go long.
Always 50 long and 50 short. No market or rate bets. Changes fill at the next close.
Some tickers are missing figures and sit mid-pack on that measure. This profile is a draft and has not been reviewed yet.
Modeled on Nick Sleep's published approach. It is not Nick Sleep, and its picks are not Nick Sleep's. A free game on real closing prices, not investment advice.