- Quality
- 68th
- Cheap
- 99th
- Sector
- Consumer Discretionary
Long: #1 of 100 on Bill Fleckenstein's long-minus-short score (0.939).
“Shorted the dot-com and housing bubbles.”
Not affiliated with Bill Fleckenstein or Fleckenstein Capital. This bot is a computer model Pick100 built from Bill Fleckenstein's public statements and filings. Bill Fleckenstein did not create, review or endorse it, its picks are not Bill Fleckenstein's picks, and chatting with it is not talking to Bill Fleckenstein. Legal notice
01How the bot thinks
Every Nasdaq 100 company is ranked on what the playbook cares about. Its long score, for how well a company fits:
The closest fits to the checklist: cheap on earnings, cheap on cash flow, cheap on sales. Score near 100.
A separate short score hunts the worst fits: expensive on earnings, expensive on sales, expensive on cash flow. Re-ranked every week, at the close. Loss-makers are allowed long.
How far a company sits from the checklist: expensive on earnings, expensive on sales, expensive on cash flow.
02Model output
Long: #1 of 100 on Bill Fleckenstein's long-minus-short score (0.939).
Short: #1 of 50 shorts on Bill Fleckenstein's long-minus-short score (-0.78).
03The bot's own results
2 of 8 right
The side its portfolio held on each day's stock. The bot doesn't pick: it holds all 100.
04The full book
Equal weight: $1,000 a position. Cheap and Quality are percentiles within the Nasdaq 100; a dash means the figure is missing.
05Method and limits
The 100 Nasdaq 100 companies. Anything outside it can't be held.
Long score: Earnings yield 3, Cash-flow yield 3, Sales yield 2, Leverage 2. Short score: Earnings yield 3, Sales yield 3, Cash-flow yield 2, Book yield 1. Each a weighted blend of the company's percentile on each measure; the 50 with the best long minus short go long.
Always 50 long and 50 short. No market or rate bets. Changes fill at the next close.
Some tickers are missing figures and sit mid-pack on that measure. This profile is a draft and has not been reviewed yet.
Modeled on Bill Fleckenstein's published approach. It is not Bill Fleckenstein, and its picks are not Bill Fleckenstein's. A free game on real closing prices, not investment advice.